Grasp the “shape” and “trend” of foreign trade development

Since the beginning of this year, the world economy has remained sluggish, and China’s economic recovery has improved, but the internal impetus is not strong enough. Foreign trade, as an important driving force for steady growth and an important part of China’s open economy, has attracted the attention of all parties. At present, it is necessary to grasp the “shape”, dialectically view the achievements and problems in the operation of foreign trade, accurately analyze the reasons behind, but also to grasp the “trend”, clarify the fundamental and long-term factors that determine the development of foreign trade, not to be confused by the temporary fluctuations, unswervingly promote the steady improvement of foreign trade quality, to achieve high-quality development.

From the “shape” point of view, the current foreign trade operation has “worry” more “joy”. “Worry” is that in May, the year-on-year growth rate of total imports and exports slowed down significantly, and exports even showed negative growth, but this is the result of multiple factors such as weak demand in major developed economies, low global commodity prices and base effect, and whether it will become a sustained pressure remains to be seen. And the “joy” is that China’s foreign trade has maintained positive growth for four consecutive months, and the structural optimization of trade subjects, trade goods, and trade partners has been further promoted.

From the perspective of “trend”, the solid foundation for high-quality development of foreign trade has not changed, although economic globalization has encountered countercurrents, the general trend of in-depth development has not changed, and the major opportunities brought by the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation to foreign trade have not changed, we must have firm confidence in China’s transformation from a trading country to a trading power.

Looking forward to the future, with the deepening of the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial reform, China’s accumulated advantages in technology, enterprises, industries, international networks in trade digitization will be further played, and the development of new forms and models of foreign trade will usher in more opportunities, becoming an important driving force for the optimization and upgrading of China’s foreign trade structure.

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